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Sunday, August 29, 2004
Rob Dibble is a...

I caught about 15 minutes of BBTN last night. (I've never understood why it was abbreviated that way. Baseball is one word; Tonight is one word; Why does it require a 4 letter acronym?) It used to be my favorite show on television. It doesn't even come close anymore, and I can't remember when it lost my fancy. I just know that I don't go out of my way to watch the show anymore. In fact, I hardly watch at all.

Anywho, the other night they were debating their AL Cy Young candidates. I happened to have caught the same segment a week before, and all were in agreement that Mark Mulder was the obvious choice. They were, one start later, going over the same question. Harold Reynolds, waffling more often than John Kerry, said that Santana had impressed him so much in "his last two starts" that he would vote for him.

Rob Dibble, on the other hand, presented the most asinine argument in Mulder's defense. He said that because Santana has Joe "Mr. Automatic" Nathan pitching behind him he has it easier. Mulder has had to pitch better because of the weak bullpen behind him. Dibble neglects to mention that he hasn't pitched better. The whole basis for the argument has less legs than Ron Santo.

Pitcher A deserves the Cy Young more than pitcher B because pitcher A has a weaker bullpen. WTF kind of reason is that?

Last season Esteban Loaiza lost the AL Cy Young to Roy Halladay based largely on their contrasting performances down the stretch. Esteban Loiza posted a 3-3 record with a 5.30 ERA in September; Roy Halladay had a 5-1 record with a 1.41 ERA over that same time period. The voters ignored Halladay's 2-4(5.40 ERA) August, and the fact that Loaiza had better numbers than him in almost every category but wins to give him the award. It appears the voters are looking to do the same thing this season the Johann Santana.

Mulder is 7-2(5.05 ERA) in July and August. Meanwhile, Santana has posted 16 straight Quality Starts, for 12-2 (1.66 ERA) over that stretch. To put Santana's stretch in perspective, Esteban Loaiza has had exactly one Quality Start since then.(June 17th) The Chicago White Sox as a team have only 27 quality starts over that time, in 73 games.

Mark Buehrle - 10
Jon Garland - 6
Jose Contreras - 4
Freddy Garcia - 5
Esteban Loaiza - 1
Felix Diaz - 1
Scott Schoenewies - 0
Arnie Munoz - 0
Jon Rauch - 0
Josh Stewart - 0

27 of 73 games is not a good QS%(37% approx.). You want a reason why the Sox are out of the race? That's it right there. The Sox have lost 8 games in the standings since Santana began his streak. Minnesota has had 44 quality starts in the same time period, with two extra games(for a QS% of 59%). Even without Johann's amazing streak, the Twinks still have more QS's since that point(28).

Johann Santana - 16
Bradke - 11
Carlos Silva - 7
Kyle Lohse - 6
Terry Mulholland - 4