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Friday, October 15, 2004
BR's 2004 pages.

Last night before I headed off to bed I discovered that Baseball Reference's 2004 pages were out. Anyone who routinely uses their pages for baseball stats knows there's a wealth of information on them. Among the things I was most interested to see was the new Park Factor for USCF, and how much Jon Garland had "regressed".

I was particularly interested in the park factor for USCF because of the inordinate amount of HR's allowed there this season. I had planned to write something about this, using ESPN's park factor page, but last time I checked, it was all messed up again. (I think they started over with the playoffs.)
Year        Park Factor

2004 107/106
2003 99/99
2002 103/103
2001 103/103
2000 105/105
1999 97/98
1998 98/98
There's been so many changes made at USCF over the past few years that it's hard to attribute the wild fluctuations in Park Factor to just one thing. Have great players can influence you Park Factor, as you can tell from the 2000 season, when the sox were the best offense in baseball. The most interesting thing I found was that in 1998 and 2004 the sox scored approximately the same number of runs, 861 and 865 respectively, yet note the extreme difference in park factor. The Sox need to play at least another season with the new roof configuration and short porches to conclusively say that the park is the reason for offensive explosion at USCF, but its certainly a contributing factor.

Jon Garland
I quietly defended Jon saying that his park adjusted ERA was going to be exactly in line with his past performances. Well look for yourself.
Year    ERA+

2004 100
2003 99
2002 101
Jon has been as average as average can be, and while that's not great, there's little reason to get rid of this 24 year old.

More troubling were Joe Crede's OPS+ numbers from the last three seasons.
Year    OPS+

2004 79
2003 94
2002 112
That's a disturbing trend.

Another feature that I love is similar batters/pitchers lists. At the bottom of the players pages, for those have enough playing time, they have a list of players to compare, by the age they are currently, and over their full career. Very cool feature.

So head on over to the 2004 White Sox page and see that Aaron Rowand shares a similar career arc with, hall of famer,Hack Wilson.

Baseball Reference,
a wealth of information.
Timo Perez sucks.